数字乡村与乡村振兴的耦合协调性测度及其动态演进

摘要：

基于2011-2021年30个省（区、市）的数据，运用耦合协调度模型分析数字乡村与乡村振兴耦合协调的时空特征，依据空间马尔可夫链分析其动态演进规律。结果表明：在样本期内，我国数字乡村与乡村振兴的耦合协调度逐年上升，地区之间呈现“东部>东北>中部>西部”的阶梯式分布；空间背景格局对数字乡村与乡村振兴耦合协调的动态演进有重要影响，具体表现为邻高上升，邻低抑制，存在“俱乐部收敛”现象。

Abstract:

Based on data from 30 provinces (regions, and municipalities) from 2011 to 2021, this study utilizes a coupling coordination degree model to analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of the coupling coordination between digital villages and rural revitalization. Additionally, the spatial Markov chain is used to examine the dynamic evolution patterns. The results indicate that during the sample period, the coupling coordination degree between digital villages and rural revitalization in China has been increasing annually. Regionally, there is a stepwise distribution pattern of “Eastern > Northeast > Central > Western”. The spatial context significantly influences the dynamic evolution of the coupling coordination between digital villages and rural revitalization, specifically manifesting as neighboring high levels promoting and neighboring low levels inhibiting the coordination. This phenomenon indicates the presence of “club convergence”.

基金项目：本文受浙江省哲学社会科学规划常规课题“数字乡村驱动农业农村现代化的作用机制与实现路径研究”（项目编号：24NDJC300YBM）；浙江省社科联研究课题“助农直播驱动浙江省农产品区域公用品牌建设的机制与路径研究”（项目编号：2023N035）资助。

作者简介：高玉，硕士，研究方向为数字乡村。秦芳，博士，研究方向为数字乡村。